Volume 8 Issue 2

Published: 2008-12-01

Contents


Article
A proposed Technique for the Problem of Selection best Forecasting Model in Time Series: A Case Study

Thafer R. Muttar

Forecasting is Considered as one of the essential goals regarding time series analysis, and forecasting accuracy decreases the risk possibility regarding decision making. Whereat the best model to...

DOI: 10.33899/iqjoss.2008.31409

Pages: 1-20
Mathematical Modeling of the Uniqueness Word

باسل يونس ذنون الخياط

The past few years have witnessed great progress in scientific techniques. In addition , computer and information application have been extended to include all scientific and human fields . In this...

DOI: 10.33899/iqjoss.2008.31070

Pages: 1-14
Analysation the relationship between the world prices of the Oil,Euro and Gold by Using Vector Autoregressive (VAR)

صفاء يونس الصفاوي

This research analyze the cross relationship between the world prices for each of the Opec Oil, Euro exchange and Gold,in a system of three equations by using Vector Autoregressive Model.To specify...

DOI: 10.33899/iqjoss.2008.31076

Pages: 15-42
Syllabic Segmentation Algorithm of Arabic Word

Faten B. Sofya, Mahdi F.M. Al-Obadi

An experimental evaluation of an automatic algorithm for segmentation of speech into Arabic syllabic units is reported here. The parameter used for segmentation is the energy and statistical...

DOI: 10.33899/iqjoss.2008.31415

Pages: 21-31
Time Series Forecasting with UCM Model ; A Comparative Study using the Tigris River Data

Thafer Ramathan Muttar, Elham Abdul-kareem Hussain

In this paper,we build two basic models to forecast a flow water of the Tigris river which enters to mosul city . The first model is Unobserved Components Model which is writing braivly by...

DOI: 10.33899/iqjoss.2008.31425

Pages: 32-47
Probability Distribution of Random Ridge Factor

موفق محمد القصاب

In this paper, we concerned with the research about the probability distribution of random ridge factor. The estimator of regression parameter is characterized as the shrunken estimator. Also we...

DOI: 10.33899/iqjoss.2008.31083

Pages: 43-55
Evaluating the Area of a Circle and the Volume of a Sphere by Using Monte Carlo Simulation

Abd Al- Kareem I. Sheet

In this reseach Monte Carlo simulation is used to calculate the area of any circle as well as the volume of any sphere numerically. Different functions are considered to test the performance of...

DOI: 10.33899/iqjoss.2008.31429

Pages: 48-62
Demonstrate New Scheduling Algorithm for Multiprocessor

أحمد محمود السبعاوي

This research demonstrate a new scheduling algorithm for multiprocessor in computer system, the problem of scheduling were dealt in the case of (n) jobs which are represented by graph, and the aim...

DOI: 10.33899/iqjoss.2008.31088

Pages: 56-67
Exponentiated Exponential Distribution as a Failure Time Distribution

Zakaria Y. AL-Jammal

Two machines failure time data and two simulated examples have been studied through their reliability function and failure rate using the exponentiated exponential distribution. It could be...

DOI: 10.33899/iqjoss.2008.31434

Pages: 63-75
The Relationship Between Analysis Of Variance And The Regression Analysis Of Dummy Variables

وكاع علي هدبة

Regression analysis of dummy variables with effect code showed the same results of the analysis of variance table when they applied on three fixed model designs. The designs were: completely...

DOI: 10.33899/iqjoss.2008.31101

Pages: 113-132
The Prediction of Seasonal ARIMA By using Exponential Smoothing Methods with Application

فاضل عباس الطائي

The reconciliation one of the time series model with ARIMA (P, D, Q) S seasonal to the average humidly in Mosul (1971-2001) have been done in this study. Prediction It...

DOI: 10.33899/iqjoss.2008.31380

Pages: 171-205
Estimating simultaneous equations system of the world prices of the grains for the period (1961-2002)

مزاحم محمد يحيى

The work in this paper estimates the simultaneous equations of the grains for the period (1961-2002).The estimation inevitable dealing with the variables that has direct effects on the world prices...

DOI: 10.33899/iqjoss.2008.31394

Pages: 205-222
Using Winters' Method of smoothing in Forecasting to the Temperature in Mosul city

الهام عبد الكريم حسين

This research tackles a forecasting by using Winters' methode for seasonal time searies by using the data which represents the monthely average of temperature to Mosul city in Iraq for the period...

DOI: 10.33899/iqjoss.2008.31386

Pages: 223-232
A Comparative Study between the Mote Carlo Simulation and Genetic algorithm regarding the Problem of Minimum Variance Estimate

همسة معن محمد ثابت

In this research, the Monte Carlo simulation and genetic algorithm have been carried out on the problem of minimum variance estimate, algorithm was suggested to find out the estimate that realize...

DOI: 10.33899/iqjoss.2008.31398

Pages: 233-243
Forecasting Efficiency between State Space And ARIMA Models with Application

هيلاء انس عبد المجيد

This research shows the forecasting using both of ARIMA and state space models. We firstly predict using ARIMA models, then we predict again after using ARIMA state space representation. We...

DOI: 10.33899/iqjoss.2008.31405

Pages: 244-276